Observatory — the registry as one field · generated from claims.yamlSchema v0.3 · 14 claims · 11 supported within scope · 3 publicly untested
Claim observatory
Every claim in this record, as a capsule: its proposition, its evidence
binding, its decay clock, and the boundary it will not cross. A solid cyan rail marks a
public evidence binding; capsules without one carry a dashed neutral rail and an
attested chip that says so; the clock turns amber when a review window is
three-quarters spent and red when it lapses. There is no aggregate score here and
never will be — a quiet trigger is quiet, not "healthy", and these envelopes do not
average into one number.
CC-001
Supported within scope
cc.kernel.strict.frechet_bounds computes Fréchet–Hoeffding endpoint bounds for composed binary guardrail failure from declared marginals; for marginals (0.10, 0.10) it returns [0.0, 0.10] for the AND event and [0.10, 0.20] for OR.
CC-Framework's E1 dependence-evidence study established constructively that distributions with identical singleton failure rates (0.5) and identical pairwise overlaps (0.25) can differ in three-way failure probability — 0 under even parity, 0.25 under odd parity — so measuring every pair does not identify a three-guardrail stack. E1 is synthetic; its recorded decision is Narrow.
For marginals (0.10, 0.10) and the both-fail query, cc.kernel.strict identify() returns the sharp interval [0.0, 0.10] together with endpoint witness distributions that sum to one, are nonnegative, satisfy both marginal constraints, and attain each endpoint — verified to 1e-9 from a clean clone.
CC-Framework's E2 — the shared-item empirical guardrail pilot — is governed by a measurement contract frozen before any dataset was inspected; no conforming dataset has been collected, so E2 is untested, and the contract's conformance checks are executable.
CC-Framework's E2 measurement pipeline was rehearsed end to end on three synthetic guardrail mechanisms: 66 observation rows conform to the frozen E2 schema with zero validator violations, the pre-registered negative controls behave (the common-cause control attains pA(1-pA) to 1e-9), and the finding records the result as a null at n=22 with a quantified cost for real E2 (~1097 shared items for epsilon=0.05). E2 itself is not run.
Ghost-Ark is a verifier and measurement harness for the provenance limits of AI-governance receipts — a research artifact of the S2 Lab, Penn State — whose stated thesis is that receipt soundness is a ternary relation Sound(C, Σ, P): a receipt identifies an execution only up to the kernel of its whole parse → canonicalize → digest pipeline, so soundness does not persist by default as the pathology alphabet grows or the consumer set widens.
Assay is an early-stage experiment in enclave-attested media processing on AWS Nitro Enclaves, investigating which provenance claims a verifier can and cannot derive from attestation.
attested — no public artifact — stated on the owner's responsibility
Ghost Visualizer is a seven-scene React/Vite visual essay ("Why AI Safety Scores Lie") that computes marginals, OR composition, Fréchet–Hoeffding bounds, endpoint witnesses, and a receipt object from deterministic sample rows, with an Evidence Mode for inspection.
GCE — the Guardrail Composability Explorer — is a coursework MVP demo (AI-285) for toggling guardrails and observing composed behavior. Its front-door composability-coefficient framing is superseded by CC-Framework's dependence-aware partial identification, whose metric taxonomy classifies the older coefficient family as legacy/deprecated. GCE is preserved as intellectual lineage, not current theory.
B.S. Computer Science, Pennsylvania State University, May 2026, with a minor in Cybersecurity; research supervised by Dr. Peng Liu (IST 496, Aug–Dec 2025).
attested — no public artifact — stated on the owner's responsibility
This site's palette token pairs were computed to pass WCAG AA contrast (most AAA), and manual QA passes covered light/dark themes, desktop and mobile layouts, keyboard focus, reduced motion, and no-JS rendering, as recorded in DESIGN.md.
This site's claim registry is enforced in CI: verify_claims.py validates schema and bindings, executes the executable review triggers against live evidence, and fails the build when any claim passes its freshness window — on every push and weekly.
The outer boundary of the record: everything these claims refuse to
support, collected in one place. A claim without a stated non-claim is a claim that has
not found its edge yet.
CC-001
does not certify any stacked system as safe
does not recover or estimate the unknown dependence
does not select a point inside the returned interval
CC-002
the manifest's existence does not validate the claims it scopes
CC-003
the parity construction demonstrates possibility, not frequency, in real guardrail stacks — no claim of empirical prevalence
nothing here validates the framework's practical or deployed value; "we validated CC" is prohibited at every rung of the repository's evidence ladder
the product-baseline failure directions observed in E1 are properties of the tested generators, not universal constants
CC-004
endpoint witnesses are feasible mathematical worlds, not observed systems
attainment does not select a point inside the interval or estimate the true dependence
CC-005
freezing a contract establishes discipline, not results; E2 remains untested until conforming observations exist
conformance is not a clean bill of health, and the contract says so
"we validated CC" is prohibited at every rung of the evidence ladder
CC-006
this is not E2 and does not move E2 off untested; the mechanisms are toy filters in the repository, not deployed guardrails
the observed dependence is a null at this scale, not evidence of independence or of any real-guardrail dependence
validating the instrument establishes nothing about the safety, representativeness, or deployment behavior of any real system
GA-001
a verifying receipt does not establish that the governed action was safe, authorized, or semantically correct
kernel collisions in real canonicalizers are demonstrated as possible, not as prevalent — the repository's E12 sample found 0 of 64 real payloads carrying any pathology class
not hardened for deployment; not post-quantum secure
AS-001
no public evidence is offered; nothing about completeness, security, or provenance-chain origin is established
attestation cannot establish a file's history prior to the first attested operation
GV-001
not an AI-safety certificate; no deployment-readiness claim
its own public-readiness review scores it for private serious-contact demo use; the site therefore links source rather than exhibiting its media as a flagship
GCE-001
supersession is a statement about theoretical framing, not about the correctness of GCE's code or its value as coursework
no current-research claim is made by or for GCE
BIO-001
no public registry link is provided; the site does not present this as third-party verified
CRED-001
"in progress" asserts intent and preparation, not partial credential
a green run verifies registry consistency and quiet triggers, never the truth of any claim's content
triggers watch file content; semantic drift outside watched files remains a manual review event, and the ledger says so
Replay manifest
The exact commands that re-verify this record from a clean checkout.
CI runs them on every push and weekly; nothing here requires trusting this page.
python scripts/verify_claims.py # shape, bindings, triggers, freshness, coverage
python scripts/generate_ledger.py --check # the ledger is generated, not hand-edited
python scripts/generate_modules.py --check # module pages match their registry
python scripts/generate_observatory.py --check # this page matches the registry
python scripts/verify_figures.py # figure geometry, asserted to 1e-9
python scripts/reproduce_cc001.py # clean-clone kernel reproduction + witnesses
Human review
Last owner review: 2026-08-23. These review
events cannot be executed by CI, and the record says so instead of borrowing the
executable triggers' credibility:
CC-001 — kernel semantics change outside the bound module file
CC-003 — E2 produces empirical results — the synthetic scoping here must be restated
CC-004 — witness API change outside the bound module file
CC-005 — a conforming dataset is collected — E2's status must be restated
CC-006 — real E2 data is collected — this claim is superseded by an E2 result
AS-001 — public artifact released
GV-001 — hosted deployment added — the site may then link a live demo
GCE-001 — GCE repository resumed or reframed
BIO-001 — annual review
CRED-001 — certification expiry or a new certification earned
SITE-001 — site redesign
SITE-002 — workflow triggers or cadence change
Related instrument, its own contract intact:
CC-Framework's
evidence cards ↗ — their manifest forbids aggregate scores and forbids rendering
"not-run" as passing, pending, or healthy, so this observatory links them rather than
re-plotting them.